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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 13 AUGUST 2014
BASE METAL WRAP:
Indonesia’s ban on nickel ore exports is resonating globally as prices
climb to the highest since 2012, prompting companies from Avebury Nickel Mines
Ltd. to Poseidon Nickel Ltd. to restart operations at idled mines.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas
Intermediate fell for a second day after an industry report showed crude and
gasoline supplies expanded in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent
dropped in London.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded below a
three-week high as investors weighed the prospects for renewed fighting in Gaza
and simmering tension between Ukraine and Russia against the outlook for the
U.S. economy and a stronger dollar. Gold imports by India, the world’s biggest
consumer after China, will probably decline for a third year as the government
keeps curbs on shipments to prevent the current-account deficit from widening
and to support the rupee.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Prelim GDP q/q, New
Loans, M2 Money Supply y/y, Industrial Production y/y, Fixed Asset Investment
ytd/y, Retail Sales y/y, Average Earnings Index 3m/y, Claimant Count Change, BOE
Gov Carney Speaks, BOE Inflation Report, Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales
m/m , FOMC Member Dudley Speaks, Business Inventories m/m, Crude Oil
Inventories, 10-y Bond Auction.
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INDIAN BENCHMARKS mark second consecutive weekly fall on geopolitical concerns
INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS flat-to-lower as investors
eye global factors. Concerns about potential U.S. strikes on Iraq and tensions
between the West and Russia are among geo-political risk factors.
·
Further, JSW Steel reported Crude Steel
Production for July 2014, at 11.13 lac tonnes showing growth of 12% over
corresponding month of previous year.
·
Corporation Bank net profit
slipped 38.8 percent year-on-year to Rs 231.4 crore in the quarter ended June
2014 dented by lower net interest income and other income, and higher
provisions
The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7600
and above this 7680. Support for the immediate term is now placed at
7540 and next support will be 7460.
