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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 04 SEPTEMBER 2014

By : Simran Shah

BASE METAL WRAP: Nickel climbed to the highest in almost four weeks after a Philippine lawmaker filed a bill to require all mined minerals to be processed before export.

ENERGY WRAP: Natural gas prices edged lower on Wednesday after weather forecasting models continued to call for milder temperatures to move across the U.S. this weekend, which should cut into the need for air conditioning and thus reduce demand for the commodity at the nation's thermal power plants. Crude oil futures rebounded from the previous session's steep declines on Wednesday, after Kiev said it has reached a deal with Russia for a ceasefire in eastern Ukraine.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold advanced for a second day on speculation that prices near the lowest level since June may encourage purchases as investors assessed tensions in Ukraine and the outlook for higher U.S. borrowing costs.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Retail Sales m/m, Trade Balance, Monetary Policy Statement, German Factory Orders m/m, BOJ Press Conference, Asset Purchase Facility, Official Bank Rate, MPC Rate Statement, Challenger Job Cuts y/y, Minimum Bid Rate, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Trade Balance, ECB Press Conference, Trade Balance, Unemployment Claims, Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q, Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q, Final Services PMI, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Natural Gas Storage, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Member Mester Speaks.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 26 August 2014

By : Simran Shah
BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium in London climbed for a second day following Alcoa Inc.’s decision to close a smelter in Italy and before durable goods orders data from the U.S., the second-largest consumer of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near the lowest price in seven months before supply data that will signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S, the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held losses near a two-month low on speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise borrowing costs next year, strengthening the dollar and damping demand for an alternative investment.
                                             

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCHTrade Balance, CB Leading Index m/m, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m, HPI m/m, S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y, CB Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manufacturing Index.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS down …Late trade sell-off on SC order

By : Simran Shah

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS hit fresh record highs early today ended flat amid selling pressure in metal and power stocks after the Supreme Court said that guidelines were breached in coal block allocations during the UPA government and that the terms of allotment, going as far back as 1993, were themselves illegal.
·         Alstom T&D gained 5.5 percent on joint venture bagging order worth Rs 3,250 crore.
·         Further, Lakshmi Vilas Bank has announced that the Bank opened its Rights Issue for an amount of Rs409.79 crores on August 08, 2014. The issue remained open for 15 days and closed on August 22, 2014.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7970 and above this 7995. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7895 and next support will be 7855.

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