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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 03 SEPTEMBER 2014
BASE METAL WRAP: Copper advanced in
London as U.S. manufacturing expanded at the quickest clip in three years and
construction spending rebounded, signaling increased demand.
ENERGY WRAP: Natural gas prices
dropped on Tuesday after weather forecasting models called for falling
temperatures across the U.S., which should cut into the need for air
conditioning and thus reduce demand for the commodity at the nation's thermal
power plants. Oil prices dropped on
Tuesday due to mounting concerns that global supply is far outreaching demand,
while a stronger U.S. dollar also bruised the commodity.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold futures extended
losses on Tuesday, slumping to more than two month lows as the broadly stronger
dollar dampened investor demand for the precious metal.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Non-Manufacturing
PMI(CNY), GDP q/q(AUD), HSBC Services PMI(CNY), RBA Gov Stevens Speaks(AUD),
Services PMI(GBP), BOC Rate Statement(CAD), Overnight Rate(CAD), Factory Orders
m/m(USD), Total Vehicle Sales(USD), Beige Book(USD).
COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 02 SEPTEMBER 2014
BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium led most
industrial metals higher as worse-than-expected manufacturing data in China and
the euro area increased speculation of more economic stimulus. Copper fell in
London on signs that factory demand will slow in China, the world’s largest
consumer of the industrial metal.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate
crude fell amid speculation that weakening manufacturing from Germany to China
will cap demand for oil. Brent was steady in London.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold extended a
declined from a one-week high, retreating for a third day, as investors weighed
the health of the global economy against tension between Ukraine and Russia.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Approvals
m/m(AUD), Cash Rate(AUD), RBA Rate Statement(AUD), Construction PMI(GBP), Final
Manufacturing PMI(USD), ISM Manufacturing PMI(USD), Construction Spending
m/m(USD), IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism(USD), ISM Manufacturing Prices(USD).
INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher levels with upside gains.
INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher levels with upside gains. Auto
stocks will be in focus on the back of robust August sales. Further,
metal and power stocks could extend gains after the Centre requested the
apex court not to cancel permits for 46 blocks.
FURTHER, Cipla
Ltd has launched an anti-asthma inhaler in Germany and Sweden that is a
generic version of GlaxoSmithKline Plc's Advair, a move that will
further dent sales of the British firm's top-selling product. Tata
Motors reported 17.59% decline in total sales at 40,883 units in
August, 2014 as against 49,611 units in the same month last year.
Trend in FII flows: The
FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while
the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 561cr, as per the provisional figures
released by the NSE.
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INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended flat ,late recovery.
INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS end flat amid choppy trading
session as investors turned cautious on lower industrial growth and rising CPI
in July. Heavy selling led the Indian stock markets to slip in to the negative
territory during the day.
·
Further, Jaiprakash Associates fell
9.16%, after the company posted a net loss of Rs80.61 crore in Q1 June 2014
compared with net profit Rs334.51 crore in Q1 June 2013.
·
Bank of Baroda fell 3.73%, after the
central bank restricted foreign institutional investors from buying additional
shares in the bank as their shareholding has reached the limit.
The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7760
and above this 7790. Support for the immediate term is now placed at
7695 and next support will be 7655.
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Weak global cues drag Sensex lower by 150 pts
Markets started the
August series on a negative note with the Sensex down over 150 points
owing to weak global cues. Selling pressure was visible across the
sectors.
At 0920 hrs, the Sensex was down 159 points at 25,736 and the Nifty was down 55 points at 7,666.
The broader markets were no exception to the trend. The mid and smallcap indices dropped 0.7% in opening trades.
Sectors & Stocks
Power, Realty and capital Goods indices down 1% each were the major sectoral losers.
IT, Auto, Consumer Durables, Oil & Gas and Bankex indices slipped a little over 0.5% each.
Only six of the 30 stocks were in green on the Sensex.
Bharti Airtel up 2.5% continued its uptrend on reports that the company will sell more infrastructure in Africa. This is to reduce debt and cut capital expenditure on passive infrastructure.
Tata Motors, Maruti Suzuki, Cipla, Coal India and Hero MotoCorp up 0.2-0.7% rounded off the gainers list.
The market breadth was weak on the BSE. 906 stocks declined while 483 stocks advanced.
At 0920 hrs, the Sensex was down 159 points at 25,736 and the Nifty was down 55 points at 7,666.
The broader markets were no exception to the trend. The mid and smallcap indices dropped 0.7% in opening trades.
Sectors & Stocks
Power, Realty and capital Goods indices down 1% each were the major sectoral losers.
IT, Auto, Consumer Durables, Oil & Gas and Bankex indices slipped a little over 0.5% each.
Only six of the 30 stocks were in green on the Sensex.
Bharti Airtel up 2.5% continued its uptrend on reports that the company will sell more infrastructure in Africa. This is to reduce debt and cut capital expenditure on passive infrastructure.
Tata Motors, Maruti Suzuki, Cipla, Coal India and Hero MotoCorp up 0.2-0.7% rounded off the gainers list.
The market breadth was weak on the BSE. 906 stocks declined while 483 stocks advanced.
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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 31 JULY 2014
BASE METAL WRAP:
London copper was underpinned on Thursday by indications that the U.S.
Federal Reserve is not hurrying to raise interest rates, even as the world's
top economy logged robust second quarter growth that brightened the outlook for
demand.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas
Intermediate crude dropped to a two-week low after a government report showed
that U.S. gasoline supplies gained as demand slipped.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold retreated for a
fourth day to head for a monthly decline as further signs that the U.S.
recovery is gaining momentum strengthened the case for higher borrowing costs
in the world’s largest economy.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building
Approvals m/m, CPI Flash Estimate y/y, Challenger Job Cuts y/y, GDP m/m,
Unemployment Claims, Employment Cost Index q/q, Chicago PMI, Natural Gas
Storage.
COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 30 JULY 2014
BASE METAL WRAP:
Copper prices slipped on Tuesday, as prospects of growing supplies
overshadowed encouraging signs of health in the global economy, and zinc
retreated after hovering near three-year highs on expectations of a tightening
market.
ENERGY WRAP:
West Texas
Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in two weeks before government
data that may signal the strength of fuel consumption in the U.S., the world’s
biggest oil user. Brent fell in London.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:
Gold traded near the
lowest level this week and was poised for a monthly decline as signs that U.S.
economic growth is gaining momentum countered haven demand from increased
tension in Ukraine and Gaza.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:
German Prelim CPI
m/m, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Advance GDP q/q, Advance GDP Price Index
q/q, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Statement, Federal Funds Rate.
Markets open flat; L&T down over 6%
ITC, Bharti Airtel, Infosys and Reliance
Industries among the top gainers
After opening in red, the
benchmark indices moved into the green territory on account of gains in
heavyweights like ITC, Bharti Airtel, Infosys and Reliance Industries.
At 0920 hrs, the Sensex was up nine points at 25,999 and the Nifty was unchanged at 7749.
The broader markets were flat with a positive bias.
At 0920 hrs, the Sensex was up nine points at 25,999 and the Nifty was unchanged at 7749.
The broader markets were flat with a positive bias.
Sectors & Stocks
On the sectoral
front, Capital Goods index was the top loser down 4% along with Realty and Metal
indices down 0.4% each.
A 6% cut on L&T dragged the capital goods index lower as the performance of engineering and construction major’s core business in the June quarter disappointed the Street, as execution remained weak in the domestic business.
Apart from L&T, Sesa Sterlite, Hindustan Unilever, Tata Steel, BHEL, Maruti Suzuki and Sun Pharma were some of the notable names in red, down 0.2-2%.
Among the gainers was Bharti Airtel up 4% after reporting 61% year-on-year jump in consolidated net profit at Rs 1,108 crore for the first quarter.
A 6% cut on L&T dragged the capital goods index lower as the performance of engineering and construction major’s core business in the June quarter disappointed the Street, as execution remained weak in the domestic business.
Apart from L&T, Sesa Sterlite, Hindustan Unilever, Tata Steel, BHEL, Maruti Suzuki and Sun Pharma were some of the notable names in red, down 0.2-2%.
Among the gainers was Bharti Airtel up 4% after reporting 61% year-on-year jump in consolidated net profit at Rs 1,108 crore for the first quarter.
COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK 28 JULY 2014
Agri Commodity Market
CS CHANA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:2795
SUP2:2740
RESIST1:2900
RESIST2:2926
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS JEERA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:11250
SUP2:11000
RESIST1:11620
RESIST2:11780
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS TURMERIC (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6420
SUP2:6316
RESIST1:6600
RESIST2:6700
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3660
SUP2:3600
RESIST1:3750
RESIST2:3860
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
bullion Commodity market
CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:430
SUP2:425
RESIST1:437
RESIST2:440
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS CRUDE (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6090
SUP2:6010
RESIST1:6230
RESIST2:6300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:27550
SUP2:27300
RESIST1:28100
RESIST2:28400
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43600
SUP2:42900
RESIST1:44800
RESIST2:45300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:430
SUP2:425
RESIST1:437
RESIST2:440
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS CRUDE (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6090
SUP2:6010
RESIST1:6230
RESIST2:6300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:27550
SUP2:27300
RESIST1:28100
RESIST2:28400
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43600
SUP2:42900
RESIST1:44800
RESIST2:45300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 28 JULY 2014
BASE METAL WRAP:
Copper dropped
for a second day after Freeport-McMoRan Inc. received approval from Indonesia
to resume exports from its Grasberg mine.
ENERGY WRAP:
West Texas
Intermediate crude fell for the fourth time in five days amid speculation that
economic data may signal slowing growth in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil
consumer. Brent also dropped in London.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:
Hedge funds increased
their bets on a gold rally, just before prices fell for a second week as an
accelerating U.S. economy outweighed concern that violence between Russia and
Ukraine will escalate.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:
Flash Services PMI,
Pending Home Sales m/m.
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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 25 JULY 2014
BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures rallied to a more than one-week high on Thursday, as investors cheered better than expected manufacturing data out of China, the world’s largest consumer of the red metal.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate headed for the third weekly decline this month amid speculation that rising U.S. gasoline stockpiles signal reduced demand in the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for its second straight weekly decline as the outlook for improving economic growth curbed demand for the precious metal as a haven.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: ANZ Business Confidence, German Ifo Business Climate, Prelim GDP q/q, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m.
COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 24 JULY 2014
BASE METAL WRAP:
Copper climbed
for a fourth day, the longest rally in three weeks, on better-than-expected
manufacturing data from China, the world’s largest user of industrial metals.
ENERGY WRAP:
West Texas
Intermediate swung between gains and losses after U.S. government data showed
crude supplies at the delivery point for New York contracts shrank to the
lowest level since 2008. Brent was steady in London.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:
Gold fell to the
lowest level in a week as a rally in equities damped demand for an alternative
investment amid concern that physical consumption is faltering.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:
Official Cash Rate, RBNZ Rate Statement, Trade Balance, HSBC
Flash Manufacturing PMI, French Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash
Manufacturing PMI, Retail Sales m/m, Unemployment Claims, Flash Manufacturing
PMI, New Home Sales, Natural Gas Storage.
Commodity
Tips Provider provides comprehensive market intelligence, forecasts, trading
tips, prices and news for commodity markets, equity / shares and currency
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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 23 JULY 2014
BASE METAL WRAP:
Zinc and aluminium
prices hit their highest in more than a year as investors sought exposure to
commodities with improved fundamentals, but copper's gains were curbed by worries
over China's property sector and over a build-up of stocks.
ENERGY WRAP:
West Texas
Intermediate crude fell for a second day after an industry report showed
gasoline supplies expanded in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent
was steady in London.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:
Gold traded below the
highest level in more than three months as investors assessed U.S. economic
data that strengthened the dollar and boosted equities, damping demand for an
alternative investment.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:
CPI q/q, MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes, MPC
Official Bank Rate Votes, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, Core Retail Sales m/m, Crude
Oil Inventories.
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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 22 JULY 2014
BASE METAL WRAP:
Aluminum entered a bull
market in London and traded near the highest in 16 months on speculation demand
will exceed supply for the metal used in everything from cars to packaging.
ENERGY WRAP:
West Texas
Intermediate rose for a second day before stockpile data that may signal the
strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent
also increased in London. Natural gas futures slipped in New York to the lowest
price in more than seven months as meteorologists predicted mild weather, which
would curtail demand from power plants and help narrow a stockpile deficit.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:
Gold traded below the
highest level in more than three months as the dollar strengthened amid the
outlook for higher U.S. borrowing costs, countering haven demand fueled by
tension in Ukraine and Gaza.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:
Core CPI m/m, CPI m/m, HPI m/m, Existing Home
Sales, Richmond Manufacturing Index, CPI q/q, Trimmed Mean CPI q/q.
COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 21 JULY 2014
BASE METAL WRAP: London copper held near
its lowest in three weeks on Monday, hemmed in by nagging worries over China's
property sector and a big Chinese stock build that highlighted an expected
market surplus in the second half.
ENERGY WRAP: Brent swung between
gains and losses amid speculation that the downing of a Malaysian Air jet will
have no impact on supplies from Russia, the world’s largest energy exporter.
West Texas Intermediate was steady in New York. Natural gas futures in the U.S.
dropped for a third day to the lowest level in almost eight months as
inventories rebounded at the quickest rate since 2001.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded little
changed after the first weekly loss in seven as investors weighed the outlook
for higher U.S. borrowing costs against demand for a haven amid unrest in
Ukraine and Gaza. Palladium was near a 13-year high.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: German PPI m/m.
 |
COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 18 JULY 2014
BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures fell to a
two-week low, as jitters over a possible bond default in China's construction
sector weighed.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas
Intermediate rose the most in a month after a Malaysian Airways jet was shot
down in Ukraine. Prices also climbed as U.S. crude supplies fell as refiners
boosted processing to the highest level since 2005.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold retreated after
the biggest advance in a month as investors weighed the outlook for U.S.
monetary policy against increased geopolitical tensions around the world.
Palladium dropped from a 13-year high.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Core CPI m/m, Wholesale
Sales m/m, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations, CB
Leading Index m/m.
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