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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 19 AUGUST 2014

By : Simran Shah

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper in London traded near the highest price in almost a week after data showed confidence among U.S. homebuilders reached the most in seven months and as investors look ahead to Chinese manufacturing data.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate rose for the second time in three days before supply data that may signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held below $1,300 an ounce after two days of losses on optimism that the U.S. recovery is gaining traction while tensions ease in Ukraine and the Middle East. Palladium traded near a 13-year high and platinum rose.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, CPI y/y, Building Permits, CPI m/m, Core CPI m/m, Housing Starts.


                                                                                                                                                                       
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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 18 AUGUST 2014

By : Simran Shah

BASE METAL WRAP: COPPER futures were up on the London Metal Exchange Friday, rebounding from the previous session's slump amid renewed hopes that central banks will step in to boost economic growth.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent crude fell amid speculation that threats to Middle East oil supplies are easing. West Texas Intermediate declined in New York. Refinery breakdowns from Kansas to Texas are giving gasoline a boost, spurring speculators to increase bullish bets for the first time in six weeks as the Labor Day holiday approaches.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold decreased for a second day as the outlook for an improving U.S. economy outweighed tension in Ukraine. Silver fell to a two-month low, while palladium retreated from the highest level in more than 13 years.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y, NAHB Housing Market Index.
                                                                                                                                                                       
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INDIAN BENCHMARK open trading session on a flat note following mixed Global cues.

By : Simran Shah
INDIAN BENCHMARK open trading session on a flat note following mixed Global cues.   

FURTHER, JSW Steel will acquire smaller rival Welspun Maxsteel for about Rs1,000 crore as to source cheaper raw material, cut production costs and strengthen its presence in the northern and western markets.

DHFL has announced that the Committee of the Board of Directors at its meeting held on August 14, 2014, has allotted 43,914 fully paid up equity shares of 10 each to eligible employees of the Company.    

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 135cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK 28 JULY 2014

By : Simran Shah

 Agri Commodity Market

CS CHANA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND  CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:2795
SUP2:2740
RESIST1:2900
RESIST2:2926

TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS JEERA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:11250
SUP2:11000
RESIST1:11620
RESIST2:11780

TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS TURMERIC (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6420
SUP2:6316
RESIST1:6600
RESIST2:6700

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND  CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3660
SUP2:3600
RESIST1:3750
RESIST2:3860

TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

bullion Commodity market

CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:430
SUP2:425       
RESIST1:437
RESIST2:440

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS CRUDE (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6090
SUP2:6010
RESIST1:6230
RESIST2:6300

TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW:   
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:27550
SUP2:27300
RESIST1:28100
RESIST2:28400

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43600
SUP2:42900   
RESIST1:44800
RESIST2:45300

TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended flat on Geopolitical tension.

By : Simran Shah
INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS closed flat after a range-bound session to perform in-line with most Asian peers amid rising geopolitical tensions after a strike on Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 in eastern Ukraine near the Russian border on Thursday that killed nearly 300 passengers on-board.

•    Further, Shares of Wipro was up 2% after the company announced that it has entered into a strategic alliance with Alberta-based ATCO Ltd., one of Canada's premier corporations.

•    Zee Entertainment Enterprises has reported a 6 percent fall in its first quarter (April-June) consolidated net profit at Rs 211 crore compared to Rs 224.6 crore in the year-ago period.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7685 and above this 7730. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7595 and next support will be 7535.
  
NEWS TO WATCH:
•    Watch out Quarterly Earnings of HDFC Bank, HDIL, Idea Cellular, Canara Bank, Exide Industries, Hindustan Zinc 21ST July 2014.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS end flat amid range bound trades

By : Simran Shah


INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended flat amid choppy trades after investors turned cautious and booked profits at higher levels.
·         Further, Bajaj Auto lost 2.3% after weak first quarter earnings. It has reported a flat growth in the first-quarter standalone net profit at Rs 740 crore, due to higher expenditure including employee cost.
·         Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd fell 3.1 percent after 11.8 million shares changed hands in twenty-four block deals on the BSE exchange.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7665 and above this 7730. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7530 and next support will be 7460.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended at a day’s high on RBI measures for infra bonds ...Nifty re-conquers 7600.

By : Simran Shah

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended at a day’s high extending the rally for second consecutive trading session after the Reserve Bank of India relaxed financing norms for infrastructure development and affordable housing. RBI exempted long-term bonds from mandatory regulatory norms like CRR and SLR if the money raised is used for funding of infrastructure and affordable housing projects.


·         Further, Tata Communications plans to invest US$200mn over a period of three years to double its data centre capacity in India.

·         Federal Bank net profit in April-June more than doubled to Rs. 220 crore from Rs. 106 crore in the corresponding period last year on account of lower provisions for bad loans.


The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7640 and above this 7665. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7530 and next support will be 7460.

Morning Mail ......

By : Simran Shah

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking firm global cues. The progress of monsoons and the possibility of a growth-oriented Budget add to the sentiments.

FURTHER, United Spirits is likely to remain in focus after world's largest liquor maker Diageo Plc acquired an additional 26% in India's largest alcoholic beverages company for Rs 11,448.91 crore. Reliance Communications has initiated the process to monetise its real estate assets across the country, aiming to raise Rs 5,000 crore through this.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 407cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS end lower on June F&O expiry

By : Simran Shah

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended 1% lower following the expiry of June F&O series dragged down by oil shares after the government defers its decision on gas price hike by three months till December 31, 2014.

Further, ITC marginally positive after Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to overweight from equal-weight and increased the price target to Rs 400 rupees from Rs 360. Aban Offshore closed nearly 5% up after Macquarie upgraded the stock from underperform to outperform and raised its target to Rs 1,090 from Rs 430.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7570 and above this 7595. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7480 and next support will be 7440.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS

By : Simran Shah

·        Axis Bank dips on stake sale by LIC
Axis Bank has dipped 3%, extending its nearly 8% fall in past week, after Life Insurance Corporation of India have offloaded equity shares worth of Rs 51 crore through open market transaction during last week.
·        Aurobindo Pharma hits new high
Aurobindo Pharma has moved higher by 3%, also its record high, in otherwise weak market after the company has received the US health regulator’s approval to market a generic version of AbbVie Inc.’s Depakote ER extended-release tablets, used for treating mental illness, in the US market.
·        United Spirits up 0.5%
Edelweiss Group companies bought 2.57 percent equity stake in United Spirits by revoking pledged shares. Edelweiss Group holds 4.33 percent in USL as pledged shares. Total holding of the group in USL stands at 6.90 percent.
·        Oil and gas shares bounce back
Shares of state-owned oil marketing companies are trading higher by up to 4%, erasing their entire early morning losses, after the government said under-recovery on high speed diesel declined further to Rs 1.62 per litre from Rs 2.80 per litre earlier.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat with a marginal negative bias.

By : Simran Shah
INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat with a marginal negative bias. YES Bank is set to raise $500 million by issuing fresh shares to a cluster of investors.

FURTHER, Bharat Heavy Electricals reported a 43% year-on-year decline in net profit for the financial year ended March 2014, a seventh consecutive fall. Shares of Crompton Greaves were up over 3% after the company's profit rose 2.5 times to Rs 63.82 crore in fourth quarter as against Rs 25.27 core profit in same period last year due to improvement in power systems business and rise in other income.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs 522cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 195cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

CS PERFORMANCE MESSAGE:

By : Simran Shah

STOCK FUTURES:


FUTURES INTRADAY:
BANK OF INDIA FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG
CROMPTON GREVES FUTURES SELL CALL 2 TG
UPL LTD FUTURES SELL CALL 2 TG
ALLAHABAD BANK FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG
BHARAT FORGE FUTURES BUY CALLL 1 TG

PREMIUM FUTURES:
ADANIENT FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG (BOOKED AT 449.10)

NIFTY FUTURES:
BANK NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG
NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 2 TG

OPTION:
BANK OF INDIA 320 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG
INFOSYS 3000 PUT BUY CALL 1 TG

OPTION PREMIUM:


STOCK CASH:



STOCK CASH INTRADY:
WOCK PHARMA SELL CALL 3 TG
AMARA RAJA BATTERIES BUY CALL 1 TG
INDIAN OIL CORPORATION SELL CALL 1 TG
SYNDICATE BANK BUY CALL 1 TG (BOOKED AT 147.60)
BANK OF INDIA EXIT AT 327

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:

INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended on a weak note

By : Simran Shah

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended on a weak note on expiry day. Indian Oil Corporation fell 3.44% after net profit fell 35.30% to Rs 9389.85 crore on 5.32% increase in total income to Rs 135465.86 crore in Q4 March 2014 over Q4 March 2013.

Further, Hindalco Group has posted a consolidated net profit of Rs. 21750.10 million for the year ended March 31, 2014 as compared to Rs. 30268.90 million for the year ended March 31, 2013. Coal India fell 0.59% after consolidated net profit fell 18.10% to Rs 4434.18 crore on 1.23% increase in total income to Rs 22382.35 crore in Q4 March 2014 over Q4 March 2013.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7325 and above this 7345. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7200 and next support will be 7130.

TOP CORPORATE NEWS

By : Simran Shah
IOC slips after weak Q4 outcome
Indian Oil Corporation fell 3.44% after net profit fell 35.30% to Rs 9389.85 crore on 5.32% increase in total income to Rs 135465.86 crore in Q4 March 2014 over Q4 March 2013.

Hindalco Q4 net profit at Rs. 2.48bn
Hindalco Group has posted a consolidated net profit of Rs. 21750.10 million for the year ended March 31, 2014 as compared to Rs. 30268.90 million for the year ended March 31, 2013. Total Income has increased from Rs. 812050.30 million for the year ended March 31, 2013 to Rs. 887126.90 million for the year ended March 31, 2014.

Hero MotoCorp Q4 net down 3.4% at Rs 554.43cr
Hero MotoCorp reported 3.44 per cent decline in its standalone net profit for the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2014 at Rs 554.43 crore. Net sales during the period under review stood at Rs 6,455.7 crore as against Rs 6,072.47 crore in the same quarter previous fiscal, up 6.31 per cent.

Coal India slips after weak Q4 results
Coal India fell 0.59% after consolidated net profit fell 18.10% to Rs 4434.18 crore on 1.23% increase in total income to Rs 22382.35 crore in Q4 March 2014 over Q4 March 2013.

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INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK 29 MAY 2014

By : Simran Shah
INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat with negative bias as investors are likely to adopt a wait-and-watch ahead of the expiry of May F&O series today. Indraprastha Gas Ltd has posted an 8% increase in net profit for the fourth quarter of the financial year 2013-14 to Rs 90.49 crore, as against Rs 83.53 crore in corresponding period last year.

FURTHER, Hero MotoCorp reported 3.44 per cent decline in its standalone net profit for the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2014 at Rs 554.43 crore. Amara Raja Batteries reported 34.31 percent increase in net profit at Rs 80.05 crore for the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2014.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs 286cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 33cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS closed flat.

By : Simran Shah

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS continued to consolidate with the Nifty holding the 7300 level ahead of expiry of May derivative contracts tomorrow.

Further, Havells India has reported a 25 percent growth in fourth quarter net profit at Rs 136.9 crore on standalone basis, supported by other income and higher revenue. SAIL fourth quarter net profit rising 1.5 percent year-on-year to Rs 453 crore, impacted by weak operational performance.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7380 and above this 7430. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7250 and next support will be 7200




 NEWS TO WATCH:
·         Watch out for the quarterly earnings of Cipla, Coal India, Hindalco, IOC, Liberty Shoes, Natco Pharma, ONGC, Sun Pharma, Tata Motors, Tata Power, Titagarh Wagons, Voltas, DLF, BPCL, Crompton Greaves on 29TH May 2014.     

Watch out for the Indian GDP annual and quarterly data on 30TH May 2014.

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