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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 04 SEPTEMBER 2014

By : Simran Shah

BASE METAL WRAP: Nickel climbed to the highest in almost four weeks after a Philippine lawmaker filed a bill to require all mined minerals to be processed before export.

ENERGY WRAP: Natural gas prices edged lower on Wednesday after weather forecasting models continued to call for milder temperatures to move across the U.S. this weekend, which should cut into the need for air conditioning and thus reduce demand for the commodity at the nation's thermal power plants. Crude oil futures rebounded from the previous session's steep declines on Wednesday, after Kiev said it has reached a deal with Russia for a ceasefire in eastern Ukraine.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold advanced for a second day on speculation that prices near the lowest level since June may encourage purchases as investors assessed tensions in Ukraine and the outlook for higher U.S. borrowing costs.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Retail Sales m/m, Trade Balance, Monetary Policy Statement, German Factory Orders m/m, BOJ Press Conference, Asset Purchase Facility, Official Bank Rate, MPC Rate Statement, Challenger Job Cuts y/y, Minimum Bid Rate, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Trade Balance, ECB Press Conference, Trade Balance, Unemployment Claims, Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q, Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q, Final Services PMI, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Natural Gas Storage, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Member Mester Speaks.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open marginally lower as investors

By : Simran Shah
INDIAN BENCHMARK open marginally lower as investors are likely to book profits after recent gains while weak Asian cues and geopolitical tensions would weigh on sentiment.
FURTHER, DLF will be in action after the Punjab and Haryana High Court on Wednesday set aside the Haryana government’s decision to allot 350 acres of land in Wazirabad, Gurgaon. United Spirits reported a consolidated net loss of Rs 4,489 crore for the year ended March 31, 2014.
Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 469cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking

By : Simran Shah

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking a bullish trend tracking Asian markets. Investors will be eying the HSBC India services PMI today.

FURTHER, NMDC's iron ore sales rose 23% to 25.2 lakh tonnes for the month of August. The company had dispatched 20.5 lakh tonnes iron ore during the same month last year. Hindalco has been exploring various options to raise USD 1 billion-plus or around Rs 5,000 to 6,000 crore funds.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 167cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE


COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 26 August 2014

By : Simran Shah
BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium in London climbed for a second day following Alcoa Inc.’s decision to close a smelter in Italy and before durable goods orders data from the U.S., the second-largest consumer of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near the lowest price in seven months before supply data that will signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S, the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held losses near a two-month low on speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise borrowing costs next year, strengthening the dollar and damping demand for an alternative investment.
                                             

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCHTrade Balance, CB Leading Index m/m, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m, HPI m/m, S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y, CB Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manufacturing Index.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS down …Late trade sell-off on SC order

By : Simran Shah

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS hit fresh record highs early today ended flat amid selling pressure in metal and power stocks after the Supreme Court said that guidelines were breached in coal block allocations during the UPA government and that the terms of allotment, going as far back as 1993, were themselves illegal.
·         Alstom T&D gained 5.5 percent on joint venture bagging order worth Rs 3,250 crore.
·         Further, Lakshmi Vilas Bank has announced that the Bank opened its Rights Issue for an amount of Rs409.79 crores on August 08, 2014. The issue remained open for 15 days and closed on August 22, 2014.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7970 and above this 7995. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7895 and next support will be 7855.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 25 AUGUST 2014

By : Simran Shah

BASE METAL WRAP:  
Copper in Shanghai swung between gains and losses near the highest in almost four weeks after stockpiles fell the most since May and before housing data in the U.S., the second-biggest consumer of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP
Brent fell for a second day amid speculation that Middle East crude supplies will remain safe amid turmoil across the region. West Texas Intermediate was steady after a technical issue disrupted electronic trading.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 
Investors are exiting the gold market on speculation that signs of sustained U.S. economic growth will push the Federal Reserve closer to raising interest rates, cutting demand for bullion as an inflation hedge.
                                             
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:  
German Ifo Business Climate, Flash Services PMI, New Home Sales.

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Nifty Future & Bank Nifty Outlook

By : Simran Shah
Nifty Future & Bank Nifty Outlook
It is likley to trade in the range of 7840 - 7940. The trading strategy would be to create short near at 7915 - 7920, Stop above 7950, for targets of 7880/7860. On the other hands, once can enter longs if the index finds support near at 7840 - 7850 levels.

The momentum buying is likely to continues up to 15700 - 15750 levels. On the lower side, immediate strong support at 15450/15350 levels for the day.

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Morning Mail Upadate 21 August 2014

By : Simran Shah

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a flat note tracking a mostly weak trend across markets in Asia as a sharp slowdown in China’s manufacturing underscored concerns over the health of the world’s second biggest economy, overshadowing Federal Reserve’s commitment to continue to keep interest rates low.

FURTHER, DLF Ltd is planning to reduce debt to Rs 12,000-14,000 crore by FY17 through asset monetization. Reliance Infrastructure has filed an appeal in the Appellate Tribunal for Electricity against the Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission pleading a stay on its recent order in change-over and switchover of its consumers to Tata Power in the Mumbai distribution area.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 481cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.



COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 14 AUGUST 2014

By : Simran Shah

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper fell on Tuesday to near six-week lows as improving supply and renewed tension between Ukraine and Russia combined with a summer lull to curb investors' appetite for risky assets.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell amid speculation that U.S. oil demand is slowing after a government report showed weekly crude inventories expanded for the time since June. Brent dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded little changed below a three-week high as investors gauged the health of the U.S. economy and tensions persisted in Ukraine and the Middle East. Gold demand in China shrank in the second quarter as consumers in the biggest user bought fewer bars, coins and jewelry amid a clampdown on corruption and as the buying spurred by last year’s price slump wasn’t sustained.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Retail Sales q/q, French Prelim GDP q/q, German Prelim GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims, Import Prices m/m, Natural Gas Storage, 30-y Bond Auction.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 13 AUGUST 2014

By : Simran Shah
BASE METAL WRAP: Indonesia’s ban on nickel ore exports is resonating globally as prices climb to the highest since 2012, prompting companies from Avebury Nickel Mines Ltd. to Poseidon Nickel Ltd. to restart operations at idled mines.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell for a second day after an industry report showed crude and gasoline supplies expanded in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded below a three-week high as investors weighed the prospects for renewed fighting in Gaza and simmering tension between Ukraine and Russia against the outlook for the U.S. economy and a stronger dollar. Gold imports by India, the world’s biggest consumer after China, will probably decline for a third year as the government keeps curbs on shipments to prevent the current-account deficit from widening and to support the rupee.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Prelim GDP q/q, New Loans, M2 Money Supply y/y, Industrial Production y/y, Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y, Retail Sales y/y, Average Earnings Index 3m/y, Claimant Count Change, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, BOE Inflation Report, Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m , FOMC Member Dudley Speaks, Business Inventories m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, 10-y Bond Auction.

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