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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET STRATEGY- 08 August 2014

By : Simran Shah


INDIAN BENCHMARK open in the negative territory tracking weakness in the global markets. Results will remain in focus, especially of SBI.

FURTHER, Apollo Tyres plans to raise about Rs 1,725 crore through issue of securities was today approved by the shareholders of the company. Reliance Communication has received Rs. 650 crore from Telecom Infrastructure Finance Private Limited equivalent to 50% of the issue price of the Equity.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs. 228cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

TOP CORPORATE NEWS

By : Simran Shah


·        Jubilant Food Q1 net down 19%, same store sales contracts

Jubilant Foodworks has first quarter (April-June) net profit falling 18.5 percent to Rs 27.7 crore compared to Rs 34 crore in the year-ago period, impacted by weak operational performance.

·        India Cements Q1 cuts loss to Rs 3 cr

India Cements has posted a net loss of Rs 2.96 crore in the quarter ended June 2014 as against profit of Rs 16.8 crore in the year-ago period but the loss was reduced compared to loss of 30.56 crore in January-March quarter.

·        Jubilant Industries drops on poor Q1 nos

Jubilant Industries slipped nearly 17% after reporting a consolidated net loss of Rs18.90 crore for the first quarter ended June 30, 2014 (Q1), due to lower operational income and higher interest cost. The agrochemicals company had loss of Rs16.96 crore in the same quarter last fiscal.

·        Rail stocks suge after Cabinet clears 100% FDI in railways

Shares of railways have rallied after the Union Cabinet cleared the proposal to allow 100% foreign direct investment (FDI) in railway infrastructure.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 07 AUGUST 2014

By : Simran Shah


BASE METAL WRAP:  
Copper prices fell to their lowest level in more than five weeks Wednesday, pressured by a stronger dollar and concerns about growth in China, the world's largest consumer of the metal.

ENERGY WRAP
West Texas Intermediate crude swung between gains and losses near a six-month low before trade data that will signal the strength of the economy in China, the world’s second-biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 
Gold held gains after the biggest advance in three weeks as tensions flared over Ukraine, increasing demand for a haven. Palladium climbed.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH
Employment Change q/q, Unemployment Rate, Asset Purchase Facility, Official Bank Rate, MPC Rate Statement, Minimum Bid Rate, Building Permits m/m, ECB Press Conference, Unemployment Claims, Ivey PMI, Natural Gas Storage.



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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET STRATEGY- 07 August 2014

By : Simran Shah

INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat, following the cabinet plan to raise the amount of FDI in defence and railways industries. IT stocks could seem dip in sentiment after Cognizant lowered its revenue growth expectations for the full year to 14% from 16.5%.

FURTHER, Piramal Enterprises Ltd has posted a net profit of Rs. 28963.20 mn for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 as compared to Net Loss of Rs. (1466.60) mn for the quarter ended June 30, 2013. IDBI bank has posted a net profit of Rs. 1048.10 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 as compared to Rs. 3069.50 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2013.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs. 32cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.



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By : Simran Shah
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INDIAN BENCHMARKS fell on weak global cues.

By : Simran Shah
INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS fell over 1%, snapping two days of gains, as lenders slumped on worries that a sell-off in government bonds would hit the value of their debt holdings.

• Further, Infosys rose 2.01% on reports that three former executives have asked the company to buyback shares worth Rs11200 crore.

• Jindal Steel & Power Ltd has announced results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014.Net profit at Rs 306.27 crore vs Rs238.86 crore YoY. Total Income at Rs3605.78 crore vs Rs3431.45 crore YoY.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7750 and above this 7840. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7640 and next support will be 7595. 

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 06 AUGUST 2014

By : Simran Shah


BASE METAL WRAP: London copper fell to its lowest level in two weeks and Shanghai prices slid nearly 1 percent, reflecting investor caution as weakness in China's services sector cast doubts on its economic recovery momentum.



ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate rose for a second time in three days after an industry report showed crude stockpiles declined in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent climbed in London.



PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Silver futures fell to a six-week low as the dollar’s advance reduced the appeal of commodities as alternative investments. Gold, platinum and palladium dropped.



GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Employment Change q/q, Unemployment Rate, Manufacturing Production m/m, Trade Balance, Trade Balance, Crude Oil Inventories.


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INDIAN BENCHMARK open lower, following losses in global stocks.

By : Simran Shah

Rendered Image

The government is planning to sell 5% stake in SAIL and 10% each in RINL and HAL in the present fiscal.   FURTHER, Bata India declined 1.99% after net profit fell 4.1% to Rs 59.39 crore on 8.6% rise in net sales to Rs 621.58 crore in Q2 June 2014 over Q2 June 2013. 

Hero MotoCorp lost 1.88% after net profit rose 2.58% to Rs 562.76 crore on 14% increase in total income to Rs 7,149.59 crore in Q1 June 2014 over Q1 June 2013.   

Trend in FII flows: 

The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs. 62cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS end higher…. RBI stays steady.

By : Simran Shah
INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS extended its upswing for the second consecutive day. The Reserve Bank of India, in its third bi-monthly monetary review for 2014-15 held today, kept the repo rate unchanged at 8%, while the reverse repo rate was remained stable at 7%.
  • Further, Shares in Tata Communications ended lower by 2.5% after company has posted a net loss of Rs. (213.80) mn for the quarter ended June 30, 2014.
  • Jubilant Life Sciences Limited has reported Consolidated revenue at Rs. 1,473 Crore, grew 8% YoY. International revenues at Rs. 1,051crore, contributed 71% to the overall mix.  EBITDA margins at 10.2% and PAT at 5 Crore.
The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7790 and above this 7840. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7640 and next support will be 7595.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 05 AUGUST 2014

By : Simran Shah
BASE METAL WRAP: Copper rose on Monday as a rally in China's stock markets indicated improving prospects for demand in the world's largest consumer of the industrial metal, although growing global supplies kept investors cautious.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the highest price in three days before supply data that will signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent in London was steady.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held below $1,300 an ounce as Portugal’s bailout of Banco Espirito Santo SA reduced concern the lender’s crisis may spread and tension in Gaza eased, damping demand for a haven. Silver rose from a six-week low.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, HSBC Services PMI, Cash Rate, RBA Rate Statement, Services PMI, Final Services PMI, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Factory Orders m/m, IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism.


INDIAN BENCHMARKS surged ahead of RBI policy

By : Simran Shah
INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS surged one percent ahead of RBI policy tomorrow, recouping more than half of Friday’s losses. The rupee recovered too, up 25 paise to 60.93 a dollar compared to Friday's closing value.

·         Further, Bajaj Auto auto sales stood at 3, 19,292 units lac units in July as compared to 2,81,327 units YoY. The total motorcycle sales stood at 2, 67,841 units.
·         Indraprastha Gas Ltd has announced results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014.Net profit up 30.2% at Rs114.03 crore vs Rs87.58 crore YoY. Total Income down 3.09% at Rs876.5 crore vs Rs904.47 crore YoY.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7695 and above this 7715. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7620 and next support will be 7595.




NEWS TO WATCH:
·         Watch out Quarterly Earnings of Ajanta Pharma, Bata India, Crompton Greaves, Hero Motocorp, Jubilant Life science, Tata Chemical on 5th August 2014. 

Sensex hovers around 25,600; auto stocks gain

By : Simran Shah

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Rate sensitives gain ahead of RBI's policy review tomorrow

were firm in early noon trades supported by gains in interest sensitives ahead of RBI's policy review tomorrow. At 1205 hrs, the was up 132 points at 25,613 and the gained 50 points to trade at 7,652.

In the broader market, the smallcap index outperformed the BSE benchmark with gains of 1%. Meanwhile, the midcap index was up 0.6%.

The rupee is trading at 60.90/91 versus Friday's close of 61.18/19, tracking losses in the dollar compared with most other Asian currencies. The pair is seen in 60.80 to 61.20 range during the session.

Sectors & Stocks

Health Care index down 0.2% was the only sectoral index in red.
Consumer Durables, Auto, IT indices were up 1-2.5%.
Banking index up 0.5% have come off day highs.
HDFC twins, Sun Pharma, Coal India, Bharti Airtel and Cipla down 0.8-1.7% were the losers among Sensex-30.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 04 AUGUST 2014

By : Simran Shah


BASE METAL WRAP: London copper was a tad firmer on Monday after weak U.S. employment data soothed concerns that the Federal Reserve would soon begin to draw back liquidity that has cushioned demand for metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in six months before data that will signal the strength of the economy in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: A slew of worries fueled by U.S. and European data, Argentina's default on its debts and conflict in Ukraine and in the Middle East sent investors rushing to safe-harbor gold positions on Friday.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Retail Sales m/m, Construction PMI, Loan Officer Survey.
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INDIAN BENCHMARKS slumps on FII selling amid weak global cues

By : Simran Shah
INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS slumped in late trades, amid weak global cues, on aggressive selling by institutional investors on concerns that robust US jobs data due later today may give the US Federal Reserve much needed comfort to taper its bond buying program and end its easy money policy stance by raising rates sooner-than-expected.

• Further, Maruti Suzuki surged 2.5% after the company reported 21.7% increase in its total sales for July at 1,01,380 units as against 83,299 units in the same month last year.

• Hero MotoCorp despatched 529,862 units of two wheelers in month of July 2014, registering a growth of 9% over the corresponding month of the previous year, when the Company had sold 487,545 units.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7715 and above this 7785. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7595 and next support will be 7530.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 01 AUGUST 2014

By : Simran Shah


BASE METAL WRAP: London copper eased on Friday after a rout on Wall Street over Argentinian default soured risk appetite and ahead of a deluge of economic indicators out later in the session, including an assessment of activity in China's vast manufacturing sector.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell for a fifth day after capping the biggest monthly decline in more than two years amid signs of weaker fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for a third weekly loss in the longest run of declines since September as U.S. employment data may add to signs that the world’s largest economy is gaining traction.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Manufacturing PMI, PPI q/q, HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI, BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks, Manufacturing PMI, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings m/m, Core PCE Price Index m/m, Personal Spending m/m, Personal Income m/m, Final Manufacturing PMI, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, Revised UoM Inflation Expectations, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending m/m, ISM Manufacturing Prices, Total Vehicle Sales.

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